Treaty Breach Versus Withdrawal
By Mike Dorf In my latest Verdict colum n, I take seriously Newt Gingrich's idea that the U.S. ought to establish a lunar colony by the end of 2020. I reach the following conclusions: 1) It's probably not technologically feasible on that timetable and almost certainly not without the sort of massive investment that Gingrich's fiscal druthers preclude; 2) It's illegal under the Outer Space Treaty (to which the U.S. is a party); 3) Withdrawal from the treaty would be a bad idea; 4) Work towards a multi-national lunar colony is worth considering as a means of preserving the human species; and 5) Considering the cost of such work, we might do better, in the short run, to take other measures to ensure the survival of our species. Here I want to examine point 3) in a somewhat broader perspective. The question I want to pose is how treaties can be binding as a practical matter given the possibility of withdrawal. Under Article 56 of the Vienna Convention on the Law of