Realistic Assessments of the Real-World Importance of Gerrymandering
I will offer below some updates on the ever-changing US situation regarding the effects of gerrymandering on the 2026 midterms. Spoiler alert: It is still looking good for Democrats overall -- though definitely bad for Black Democratic officeholders, due to the recent dirty deeds of the Supreme Court. Before I get there, however, it is worth looking back on some very recent history. In late 2022, after the Republicans regained control of the House of Representatives in that year's midterm elections, I planned to write a series of columns under the blanket title "Gerrymandering is the Only Thing that Anyone Should be Talking About." I never wrote those columns, because I had at that point begun a process that would completely disrupt my life for several years, but my intended point was a valid one. Recall that in the first two years of the Biden presidency, the Democrats controlled both houses of Congress. True, the toxic dyad of Joe Manchin and Kyrste...