Failing to Update Our Understanding of the New Political Reality (with a Discussion of the Hunter Biden Pardon)
The country and the world have had four weeks to process and try to explain the outcome of the 2024 US elections, but the analysis is not getting any better. Joe Scarborough's hot take on the morning after the election that it was a "red wave" unlike anything since Reagan's 1984 landslide was obviously wrong even before the later vote-counting turned Donald Trump into "Mr. 49.8." (In a November 22 column , I called Trump "Mr. 49.9" but promised that I would adjust that moniker as appropriate .) All of the other nonsense -- blaming "the left" for caring about pronouns, and on an on -- has been as predictable as it is infuriating. And none of that misanalysis has changed or been updated, even given nearly a month to reconsider the situation and pay attention to something called data. Unfortunately, that failure to update opinions in the face of a fearful new world is not limited to assessments of the election itself. Despite the Hercu...